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	<title>Financial planet</title>
	<atom:link href="http://www.financialplanet.info/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://www.financialplanet.info</link>
	<description>Money and finance</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Tue, 31 Jan 2012 20:07:31 +0000</lastBuildDate>
	<language>en</language>
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		<title>Payday loans online</title>
		<link>http://www.financialplanet.info/payday-loans-online/</link>
		<comments>http://www.financialplanet.info/payday-loans-online/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 31 Jan 2012 20:07:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Online Loans]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.financialplanet.info/?p=28</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Payday loans are booming on the British and American markets. People need money and they need it fast for a number of reasons. A poor economy is not a great helper. When your financial situation hit rock bottom, you want to find a good and reliable source of quick cash. Sites like www.paydayus.co.uk can come [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Payday loans are booming on the British and American markets. People need money and they need it fast for a number of reasons. A poor economy is not a great helper. When your financial situation hit rock bottom, you want to find a good and reliable source of quick cash. Sites like <a href="http://www.paydayus.co.uk">www.paydayus.co.uk</a> can come handy at the time of crisis.<br />
Payday loans are a quick fix but at the same time can cause a lot of trouble for people who get into a circle of debt. When borrowing money you have to realize that every loan is a quick fix to your situation bout not a permanent solution. Online lenders charge more for the convenience you get and for no credit check as well. This is an excellent opportunity to get a loan especially for people who have less than perfect credit history.</p>
<p>No credit check is a good news also for those who have a good credit record. The less information regarding credit reports you have on your record the better.<br />
When you apply online you get an instant decision regarding your application. If it is approved, you get money deposited into your account in a matter of minutes or hours.</p>
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		<title>Quick Guaranteed Loans</title>
		<link>http://www.financialplanet.info/quick-guaranteed-loans/</link>
		<comments>http://www.financialplanet.info/quick-guaranteed-loans/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 21 Aug 2011 10:29:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Online Loans]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.financialplanet.info/?p=24</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Quick Guaranteed Loans is a website dedicated to all kinds of loans, including payday loans, personal, home improvement and debt counseling. The site provides a simplified application form for all those who want to apply for a loan online. Quick Guaranteed Loans offers fast loan with guaranteed approval. The company&#8217;s approval rate is in the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.quickguaranteedloans.com">Quick Guaranteed Loans</a> is a website dedicated to all kinds of loans, including payday loans, personal, home improvement and debt counseling. The site provides a simplified application form for all those who want to apply for a loan online. <a href="http://www.quickguaranteedloans.com/">Quick Guaranteed Loans</a> offers fast loan with guaranteed approval. The company&#8217;s approval rate is in the neighborhood of 95%, which makes it one of the industry highest. The application process takes less than 5 minutes for most individuals. There is no credit check, which benefits all those who don&#8217;t have the luxury of good credit score.</p>
<p>When you apply for a loan, your application is instantly approved or denied (if you don&#8217;t meet basic requirements, which are a legal age, bank account and regular income). Once you are approved for a loan, you get money in a few hours. The company claims that most of their applicants receive a money transfer within an hour of their application.</p>
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		<title>Fisher Investments Forecast</title>
		<link>http://www.financialplanet.info/fisher-investments-forecast/</link>
		<comments>http://www.financialplanet.info/fisher-investments-forecast/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 21 Aug 2011 10:14:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Markets]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.financialplanet.info/?p=21</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Fisher Investments is an excellent company providing a huge knowledge base to the public interested in economy, stock markets and money in general. Fisher Investments is a multi-billion dollar company, one of the world&#8217;s largest independent investment advisory firms. Whatever advisors from Fisher investments say, you’d better listen to them, especially if you’re an investor in [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Fisher Investments is an excellent company providing a huge knowledge base to the public interested in economy, stock markets and money in general. Fisher Investments is a multi-billion dollar company, one of the world&#8217;s largest independent investment advisory firms.  Whatever advisors from Fisher investments say, you’d better listen to them, especially if you’re an investor in the stock market. The company offers online resources with daily views on the markets and investing on its site MarketMinder.com, which brings readers the news of the day, along with insightful research analysis and market commentary.<br />
If you want to know how the upcoming election is going to impact your portfolio, you can have a good read of a financial article from Fisher Investment dwelling on the subject on the MarketMinder.com website. It is a must to read for all those for whom money matters and who are looking for economic forecasts for 2012.</p>
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		<title>Looking over your General Finances</title>
		<link>http://www.financialplanet.info/looking-over-your-general-finances/</link>
		<comments>http://www.financialplanet.info/looking-over-your-general-finances/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 03 Dec 2010 15:17:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Finance]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.financialplanet.info/?p=18</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The New Year is almost upon us, which means the time for reflection is upon us. Many of us set New Year’s goals whether they are financial or more personal in relation. If you have never thought about setting financial goals in the past, now is a good time to start. With the amount of [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The New Year is almost upon us, which means the time for reflection is upon us. Many of us set New Year’s goals whether they are financial or more personal in relation. If you have never thought about setting financial goals in the past, now is a good time to start. With the amount of debt the average US citizen has, especially in the middle class, it is time to see what can be done about it. What can you do to lower your debts next year? What are you willing to sacrifice to gain a better handle on your personal debts?</p>
<p>Finance is managing your funds, as well as how to secure new funds. In the world of general finance you have to prepare for how you can make your situation better. If you have dealt with <a href="http://www.nationalpayday.com/">payday loan direct lenders</a>, but know that you need to stop this type of lending practice, you have to prepare to get out of the cycle. Likewise if you have credit card debt, you will need to consider how you can get out of debt and how quickly this will happen.</p>
<p>There are plenty of things you can do in order to get yourself out of debt. It just depends on what you are willing to do. Let’s take a look at how you might decide to finance next year.</p>
<p>One option open to you is to talk with a couple of banks to determine if you can obtain a personal loan or secured loan to reduce your monthly payments and interest. If you have equity in your home you may want to remortgage or get an equity mortgage to pay off your larger interest debts. Paying out 15 percent or more on a debt is unnecessary if you are in a position to get an equity loan or personal loan for 7 percent APR or less. There are products like this out there. So, now is a good time to search for them.</p>
<p>Also consider debt consolidation. With debt consolidation you may be able to pay off certain debts by cutting them in half. Companies like credit cards and are willing to settle for a lower payment if it means getting money from you. Debt consolidation can be the way for you to settle some of the more unseemly debts and get back on a financial track that helps you save for your retirement.</p>
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		<title>MODEL RISKS</title>
		<link>http://www.financialplanet.info/model-risks/</link>
		<comments>http://www.financialplanet.info/model-risks/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 28 Mar 2010 16:00:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[MODEL RISKS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[marketing]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.financialplanet.info/?p=15</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Model risks are present in both appraised price estimates and the assessment of realization risks: Second order price risks. Model assumptions that prices change in a linear way with an underlying factor can lead to material differences when curvature is present. This occurs with bonds and can be taken account of by using the measure [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Model risks are present in both appraised price estimates and the assessment of realization risks:<br />
Second order price risks. Model assumptions that prices change in a linear way with an underlying factor can lead to material differences when curvature is present. This occurs with bonds and can be taken account of by using the measure convexity. Callable bonds with embedded options exhibit negative convexity as prices approach the call price. Tranches of mortgage backed securities provide particular challenges depending on pre-payment rates.<br />
These risks are also present with options where this is referred to as gamma risk where the rate of change does not simply vary with the underlying factor but may even reverse sign. Price distribution. Most methods used to assess downside risks from particular trading positions are dependent on price changes being essentially random and having a “normal” distribution. This is not always the case. Some distributions are skewed, with a “long tail” in one direction, while others have a distribution close to that of the normal distribution but have “fat tails”. Fat tails occur when the incidence of occurrences at the extremes is greater than would be expected from a normal distribution.<br />
A further implicit assumption is that price changes are not serially correlated, that is that price changes in one period are independent of price changes in prior periods. This assumption does not always hold.</p>
<p>Reversion to mean. A further assumption often made is that of reversion to mean. This means that past relationships between factors will continue to apply in the future. Examples of these include the following:</p>
<p>Price volatility. Methods to determine the likelihood of losses in a given period exceeding a particular level depends on the volatility of prices of the instruments concerned. A common assumption is that future volatility levels will revert back to historic levels or if  they do change over time they change slowly.<br />
Correlations. The level of potential losses for a portfolio of financial assets depends not only on price changes of individual instruments but the way in which such changes are related to one another. The prices of two instruments may tend to move together, or if the price of one instrument rises the price of the other tends to fall. These relationships are core to overall portfolio risks. These relationships are captured in a quantitative way through the use of correlation coefficients calculated on the basis of historic prices.</p>
<p>These correlation coefficients are assumed to remain stable over time. Risk premiums. The same considerations apply to the market equity risk premium and stock specific betas. Trading volumes. In estimating the time necessary to unwind a position the historic average daily trading volume is usually assumed.</p>
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		<title>Risk-Averse Investors Have Demanded Higher Expected Rates</title>
		<link>http://www.financialplanet.info/risk-averse-investors-have-demanded-higher-expected-rates/</link>
		<comments>http://www.financialplanet.info/risk-averse-investors-have-demanded-higher-expected-rates/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 19 Jun 2009 10:41:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Risk]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Finance]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.financialplanet.info/?p=12</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[We have assumed that investors are risk-neutral—indiﬀerent between two loans that have the same expected rate of return. As we have already mentioned, in the real world, risk-averse investors would demand and expect to receive a little bit more for the risky loan. Would you rather invest into a bond that is known to pay [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>We have assumed that investors are risk-neutral—indi<span>ﬀ</span>erent between two loans that have the same expected rate of return. As we have already mentioned, in the real world, risk-averse investors would demand and expect to receive a little bit more for the risky loan. Would you rather invest into a bond that is known to pay o<span>ﬀ</span> 5% (for example, a U.S. government bond), or would you rather invest in a bond that is “merely” expected to pay o<span>ﬀ</span> 5% (such as my 6.63% bond)? Like most lenders, you are likely to be better o<span>ﬀ</span> if you know exactly how much you will receive, rather than live with the uncertainty of my situation. Thus, as a risk-averse investor, you would probably ask me not only for the higher promised interest rate of 6.63%, which only gets you to an expected interest rate of 5%, but an even higher promise in order to get you more than 6.63%. For example, you might demand 6.75%, in which case you would expect to earn not just 5%, but a little more. The extra 12 basis points is called a risk premium, and it is an interest component required above and beyond the time premium (i.e., what the U.S. Treasury Department pays for use of money over time) and above and beyond the default premium (i.e., what the promised interest has to be for you to just expect to receive the same rate of return as what the government o<span>ﬀ</span>ers). </p>
<p>Recapping, we know that 5% is the time-value of money that you can earn in interest from the Treasury. You also know that 1.63% is the extra default premium that I must promise you, a risk-neutral lender, to allow you to expect to earn 5%, given that repayment is not guaranteed. Finally, if you are not risk-neutral but risk-averse, I may have to pay even more than 6.63%, although we do not know exactly how much. </p>
<p>If you want, you could think of further interest decompositions. It could even be that the time-premium is itself determined by other factors (such as your preference between consuming today and consuming next year, the inﬂation rate, taxes, or other issues, that we are brushing over). Then there would be a liquidity premium, an extra interest rate that a lender would demand if the bond could not easily be sold—resale is much easier with Treasury bonds.The risk premium itself depends on such strange concepts as the correlation of loan default with the general economy. We can preview the relative importance of these components for you in the context of corporate bonds. The highest-quality bonds are called investment-grade. A typical such bond may promise about 6% per annum, 150 to 200 basis points above the equivalent Treasury. The probability of default would be small—less than 3% in total over a ten-year horizon (0.3% per annum). When an investment-grade bond does default, it still returns about 75% of what it promised. For such bonds, the risk premium would be small—a reasonable estimate would be that only about 10 to 20 basis points of the 200 basis point spread is the risk premium. The quoted interest rate of 6% per annum therefore would reﬂect ﬁrst the time premium, then the default premium, and only then a small risk premium. (In fact, the liquidity premium would probably be more important than the risk premium.) For low-quality corporate bonds, however, the risk premium can be important. Ed Altman has been collecting corporate bond statistics since the 1970s. In an average year, about 3.5% to 5.5% of low-grade corporate bonds defaulted. But in recessions, the default rate shot up to 10% per year, and in booms it dropped to 1.5% per year. The average value of a bond after default was only about 40 cents on the dollar, though it was as low 25 cents in recessions and as high as 50 cents in booms. Altman then computes that the most risky corporate bonds promised a spread of about 5%/year above the 10-Year Treasury bond, but ultimately delivered a spread of only about 2.2%/year. 280 points are therefore the default premium. The remaining 220 basis points contain both the liquidity premium and the risk premium—perhaps in roughly equal parts.</p>
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		<title>Risk Neutrality (and Risk Aversion Preview)</title>
		<link>http://www.financialplanet.info/risk-neutrality-and-risk-aversion-preview/</link>
		<comments>http://www.financialplanet.info/risk-neutrality-and-risk-aversion-preview/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Jun 2009 10:40:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Risk]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.financialplanet.info/?p=9</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Fortunately, the expected value is all that we need to learn about statistics until we will get to Part III (investments). This is because we are assuming—only for learning purposes—that everyone is risk-neutral. Essentially, this means that investors are willing to write or take any fair bet. For example, you would be indiﬀerent between getting [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Fortunately, the expected value is all that we need to learn about statistics until we will get to Part III (investments). This is because we are assuming—only for learning purposes—that everyone is risk-neutral. Essentially, this means that investors are willing to write or take any fair bet. For example, you would be indi<span>ﬀ</span>erent between getting $1 for sure, and getting either $0 or $2 with 50% probability. And you would be indi<span>ﬀ</span>erent between earning 10% from a risk-free bond, and earning either 0% or 20% from a risky bond. You have no preference between investments with equal expected values, no matter how safe or uncertain they may be. If, instead, you were risk-averse—which you probably are in the real world—you would not want to invest in the more risky alternative if both the risky and safe alternative o<span>ﬀ</span>ered the same expected rate of return. You would prefer the safe $1 to the unsafe $0 or $2 investment. You would prefer the 10% risk-free Treasury bond to the unsafe corporate bond that would pay either 0% or 20%. In this case, if I wanted to sell you a risky project or bond, I would have to o<span>ﬀ</span>er you a higher rate of return as risk compensation. I might have to pay you, say, 5 cents to get you to be willing to accept the project that pays o<span>ﬀ</span> $0 or $2 if you can instead earn $1. Or, I would have to lower the price of my corporate bond, so that it o<span>ﬀ</span>ers you a higher expected rate of return, say, 1% and 21% instead of 0% and 20%. Would you really worry about a bet for either +$1 or −$1? Probably not. For small bets, you</p>
<p>are probably close to risk-neutral—I may not have to o<span>ﬀ</span>er even one cent to take this bet. But what about a bet for plus or minus $100? Or for plus and minus $10,000? My guess is that you would be fairly reluctant to accept the latter bet without getting extra compensation. For large bets, you are probably fairly risk-averse—I would have to o<span>ﬀ</span>er you several hundred dollars to take this bet. However, your own personal risk aversion is not what matters in ﬁnancial markets. Instead, it is an aggregate risk aversion. For example, if you could share the $10,000 bet with 100 other students in your class, the bet would be only $100 for you. And some of your colleagues may be willing to accept even more risk for less extra money—they may have healthier bank accounts or wealthier parents. If you could lay bets across many investors, the e<span>ﬀ</span>ective risk aversion would therefore be less. And this is exactly how ﬁnancial markets work: the aggregate risk absorption capability is considerably higher than that of any individual. In e<span>ﬀ</span>ect, ﬁnancial markets are less risk averse than individuals. </p>
<p>We will study risk aversion in the investments part of the blog. There, we will also need to deﬁne good measures of risk, a subject we can avoid here. But, as always, all tools we learn under the simpler scenario (risk-neutrality) will remain applicable under the more complex scenario (risk-aversion).</p>
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		<title>Why is the Yield Curve not Flat?</title>
		<link>http://www.financialplanet.info/why-is-the-yield-curve-not-flat/</link>
		<comments>http://www.financialplanet.info/why-is-the-yield-curve-not-flat/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Jun 2009 10:39:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Finance]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.financialplanet.info/?p=7</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[There is no necessary reason why capital should be equally productive at all times. For example, in agrarian societies, capital could be very productive in summer (and earn a rate of return of 3%), but not in winter (and earn a rate of return of only 1%). This does not mean that investment in summer [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There is no necessary reason why capital should be equally productive at all times. For example, in agrarian societies, capital could be very productive in summer (and earn a rate of return of 3%), but not in winter (and earn a rate of return of only 1%). This does not mean that investment in summer is a better deal or a worse deal than investment in winter, because cash in winter is not the same—not as valuable—as cash in summer, so the two interest rates are not comparable. You could not invest winter money at the 3% interest rate you will be able to invest it with 6 months later. </p>
<p>But although seasonal e<span>ﬀ</span>ects do inﬂuence both prices and rates of return on agricultural com-modities, and although the season example makes it clear that capital can be di<span>ﬀ</span>erently produc- tive at di<span>ﬀ</span>erent times, it is not likely that seasonality is the reason why 30-year Treasury bonds in May 2002 paid 5.6% per annum, and 6-month Treasury notes paid only 1.9% per annum. So why is it that the yield curve was so steep? There are essentially three explanations: </p>
<p>1. The 30-year bond is a much better deal than the 1-year bond. This explanation is highly unlikely. The market for Treasury bond investments is close to perfect, in the sense that we have used the deﬁnition. It is very competitive and e<span>ﬃ</span>cient. If there was a great deal to be had, thousands of traders would have already jumped on it. So, more likely, the interest rate di<span>ﬀ</span>erential does not overthrow the old tried-and-true axiom: you get what you pay for. It is just a fact of life that investments for which the interest payments are tied down for 30 years must o<span>ﬀ</span>er higher interest rates now. </p>
<p>It is important that you recognize that your cash itself is not tied down if you invest in a 30-year bond, because you can of course sell your 30-year bond tomorrow to another investor if you so desire. </p>
<p>2. Investors expect to be able to earn much higher interest rates in the future. For example, if the interest rate r0,1 is 2% and the interest rate r1,2 is 10%, then r0,2 = (1 + 2%) · (1 + 10%) ≈ 1 + 12%, or r2 = 5.9%. If you graph rT against T , you will ﬁnd a steep yield curve, just as you observed. So, higher future interest rates can cause much steeper yield curves. </p>
<p>However, I am cheating. This explanation is really no di<span>ﬀ</span>erent from my “seasons” explanation, because I have given you no good explanation why investment opportunities were expected to be much better in May 2032 than they were in May 2002. I would need to give you an underlying reason. One particular such reason may be that investors believe that money will be worth progressively less. That is, even though they can earn higher interest rates over the long run, they also believe that the price inﬂation rate will increase. Inﬂation erodes the value of higher interest rates, so interest rates may have to be higher in the future merely to compensate investors for the lesser value of their money in the future.</p>
<p>However, the empirical evidence suggests that the yield curve is not a good predictor of future interest rates, except on the very shortest horizons (a month or less). So, the expectation of higher interest rates is not the most likely cause for the usually upward sloping curve in the real world. </p>
<p>3. Long-term bonds might somehow be riskier than short-term bonds, so investors only want to buy them if they get an extra rate of return. Although we have yet to cover uncertainty more systematically, you can gain some intuition by considering the e<span>ﬀ</span>ects of changes in economy-wide interest rates on short-term bonds vs. long-term bonds. </p>
<p>The empirical evidence indeed suggests that it is primarily compensation for taking more risk with long-term bonds than short-term bonds that explains why long-term bonds have higher yields than short-term bonds. That is, investors seem to earn higher expected rates of return on average in long-term bonds, because these bonds are riskier (at least in the interim).</p>
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		<title>Investments, Projects, and Firms</title>
		<link>http://www.financialplanet.info/investments-projects-and-firms/</link>
		<comments>http://www.financialplanet.info/investments-projects-and-firms/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 29 May 2009 10:39:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Firms]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Investments]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Projects]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.financialplanet.info/?p=5</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[  As far as ﬁnance is concerned, every project is a set of ﬂows of money (cash ﬂows). Most projects require an upfront cash outﬂow (an investment or expense or cost) and are followed by a series of later cash inﬂows (payoﬀs or revenues or returns). It does not matter whether the cash ﬂows come [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p> </p>
<p>As far as ﬁnance is concerned, every project is a set of ﬂows of money (cash ﬂows). Most projects require an upfront cash outﬂow (an investment or expense or cost) and are followed by a series of later cash inﬂows (payo<span>ﬀ</span>s or revenues or returns). It does not matter whether the cash ﬂows come from garbage hauling or diamond sales. Cash is cash. However, it is important that all costs and beneﬁts are included as cash values. If you would have to spend more time to haul trash, or merely ﬁnd it more distasteful than other projects, then you would have to translate these project features into equivalent cash negatives. Similarly, if you want to do a project “for the fun of it,” you must translate your “fun” into a cash positive. The discipline of ﬁnance takes over after all positives and negatives (inﬂows and outﬂows) from the project “black box” have been translated into their appropriate monetary cash values. </p>
<p>This does not mean that the operations of the ﬁrm are unimportant—things like revenues, operations, inventory, marketing, payables, working capital, competition, etc. These business factors are all of the utmost importance in making the cash ﬂows happen, and a good (ﬁnancial) manager must understand these. After all, even if all you care about is cash ﬂows, it is impossible to understand them well if you have no idea where they come from and how they can change in the future. </p>
<p>Projects need not be physical. For example, a company may have a project called “customer relations,” with real cash outﬂows today and uncertain future inﬂows. You (a student) are a project: you pay for education and will earn a salary in the future. In addition, some of the payo<span>ﬀ</span>s from education are metaphysical rather than physical. If knowledge provides you with pleasure, either today or in the future, education yields a value that should be regarded as a positive cash ﬂow. Of course, for some students, the distaste of learning should be factored in as a cost (equivalent cash outﬂow)—but I trust that you are not one of them. All such non-ﬁnancial ﬂows must be appropriately translated into cash equivalents if you want to arrive at a good project valuation! </p>
<p>A ﬁrm can be viewed as just a collection of projects. Similarly, so can a family. Your family  may own a house, a car, tuition payments, education investments, etc.,—a collection of projects. This blog assumes that the value of a ﬁrm is the value of all its projects’ net cash ﬂows, and nothing else. It is now your goal to learn how to determine these projects’ values, given cash ﬂows. </p>
<p>There are two important speciﬁc kinds of projects that you may consider investing in—bonds and stocks, also called debt and equity. As you will learn later, in a sense, the stock is the equivalent of investing to become an owner who is exposed to a lot of risk, while the bond is the equivalent of a lending money, an investment which is usually less risky. Together, if you own all outstanding bonds (and loans) and stock in a company, you own the ﬁrm: </p>
<p>Entire Firm = All Outstanding Stocks + All Outstanding Bonds and Loans . </p>
<p>This sum is sometimes called the enterprise value. Our blog will spend a lot of time discussing these two forms of ﬁnancing—but for now, you can consider both of them just investment projects: you put money in, and they pay money out. For many stock and bond investments that you can buy and sell in the ﬁnancial markets, we believe that most investors enjoy very few, if any, non-cash based beneﬁts.</p>
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		<title>The Goal of Finance: Relative Valuation</title>
		<link>http://www.financialplanet.info/the-goal-of-finance-relative-valuation/</link>
		<comments>http://www.financialplanet.info/the-goal-of-finance-relative-valuation/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 23 May 2009 10:38:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Valuation]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Finance is such an important part of modern life that almost everyone can beneﬁt from understanding it better. What you may ﬁnd surprising is that the ﬁnancial problems facing PepsiCo or Microsoft are not really diﬀerent from those facing an average investor, small business owner, entrepreneur, or family. On the most basic level, these problems [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Finance is such an important part of modern life that almost everyone can beneﬁt from understanding it better. What you may ﬁnd surprising is that the ﬁnancial problems facing PepsiCo or Microsoft are not really di<span>ﬀ</span>erent from those facing an average investor, small business owner, entrepreneur, or family. On the most basic level, these problems are about how to allocate money. The choices are many: money can be borrowed or saved; money can be invested into projects, undertaken with partners or with the aid of a lender; projects can be avoided altogether if they do not appear valuable enough. Finance is about how best to decide among these alternatives.</p>
<p>There is one principal theme that carries through all of ﬁnance. It is value. It is the question </p>
<p>“What is a project, a stock, or a house worth?” To make smart decisions, you must be able to assess value—and the better you can assess value, the smarter your decisions will be. </p>
<p>The goal of a good corporate manager should be to take all projects that add value, and avoid those that would subtract value. Sounds easy? If it only were so. Valuation is often very di<span>ﬃ</span>cult. </p>
<p>It is not the formulas that are di<span>ﬃ</span>cult—even the most complex formulas in this blog contain just a few symbols, and the overwhelming majority of ﬁnance formulas only use the four major operations (addition, subtraction, multiplication, and division). Admittedly, even if the formulas are not sophisticated, there are a lot of them, and they have an intuitive economic meaning that requires experience to grasp—which is not a trivial task. But if you managed to pass high-school algebra, if you are motivated, and if you keep an open mind, you positively will be able to handle the math. It is not the math that is the real di<span>ﬃ</span>culty in valuation. </p>
<p>Instead, the di<span>ﬃ</span>culty is the real world! It is deciding how you should judge the future—whether  your Gizmo will be a hit or a bust, whether the economy will enter a recession or not, where you can ﬁnd alternative markets, and how interest rates or the stock market will move. This blog will explain how to use your forecasts in the best way, but it will mostly remain up to you to make smart forecasts. But there is also a ray of light here: If valuation were easy, a computer could do your job of being a manager. This will never happen. Valuation will always remain a matter of both art and science, that requires judgment and common sense. The formulas and ﬁnance in this blog are only the necessary toolbox to convert your estimates of the future into what you need today to make good decisions. </p>
<p>To whet your appetite, much in this blog is based in some form or another on the law of one price. This is the fact that two identical items at the same venue should sell for the same price. Otherwise, why would anyone buy the more expensive one? This law of one price is the logic upon which almost all of valuation is based. If you can ﬁnd other projects that are identical— at least along all dimensions that matter—to the project that you are considering, then your project should be worth the same and sell for the same price. If you put too low a value on your project, you might pass up on a project that is worth more than your best alternative uses of money. If you put too high a value on your project, you might take a project that you could buy cheaper elsewhere. </p>
<p>Note how value is deﬁned in relative terms. This is because it is easier to determine whether your project is better, worse, or similar to its best alternatives than it is to put an absolute value on your project. The closer the alternatives, the easier it is to put a value on your project. It is easier to compare and therefore value a new Toyota Camry—because you have good alternatives such as Honda Accords and one-year used Toyota Camry—than it is to compare the Camry against a Plasma TV, a vacation, or pencils. It is against the best and closest alternatives that you want to estimate your own project’s value. These alternatives create an “opportunity cost” that you su<span>ﬀ</span>er if you take your project instead of the alternatives.</p>
<p>Many corporate projects in the real world have close comparables that make such relative valuation feasible. For example, say you want to put a value on a new factory that you would build in Rhode Island. You have many alternatives: you could determine the value of a similar factory in Massachusetts instead; or you could determine the value of a similar factory in Mexico; or you could determine how much it would cost you to just purchase the net output of the factory from another company; or you could determine how much money you could earn if you invest your money instead into the stock market or deposit it into a savings account. If you  know whether you should build it or not. But not all projects are easy to value in relative terms. For example, what would be the value of building a tunnel across the Atlantic, of controlling global warming, or of terraforming Mars? There are no easy alternative projects to compare these to, so any valuation would inevitably be haphazard.</p>
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